"Learn from the mistakes of others. You can't live long enough to make them all yourself"
-Eleanor Roosevelt US diplomat & reformer (1884 - 1962)
" In the stock market, history repeats itself. This is because human nature rarely changes"
- (Founder of Investor's Business Daily)
The 1990's California Real Estate Crash
Prior to construction in early 1990, the possibility of failure never crossed my mind. The eight homes I was building were appraised for $2.2 million in 1989. However, by the time all the homes were built and sold in 1991, the total sales price of all eight homes had dropped to $1.8 million. In other words the average value of each home had dropped from $275,000 to $225,000 in less than two years!
This market downturn caught practically everyone by surprise- including the so called 'experts'. It was the worst real estate crash since the Great Depression. Home prices plunged by 25-40% during the next five years. Land prices fell as much as 60%! Many real estate owners lost everything. Even those that survived the 'crash'- and avoided going broke- still suffered huge financial losses.
Personally, I lost $204,000 of hard-earned capital. I also lost over three years of time during which I earned absolutely no income from all my hard work and had to live off my savings. The loss caused from building these eight homes,coupled with the huge loss I suffered from my two vacant land partnerships mentioned earlier, caused a negative and far-reaching ripple effect. It created a major financial setback that would take me years and years to overcome.
However, after witnessing and surviving this real estate lapse, I did learn a valuable lesson. I learned that working hard was not enough to be successful in life.... or in real estate. It is more important to work smart.
To be continued...
Resource: 'Timing the Real Estate Market' By: Robert Campbell pages 42-48
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