13 ways this blog will help you:

1.  The most comprehensive "how-to" guide in doing Short Sales in Reno!

2.  Gives buyers (and sellers too!) honest, unbiased and straightforward analysis of the Reno real estate market.
3.  Shows you what's happening in the market of your desired area (Ex: South Reno).

4.  Gives you a detailed, easy-to-follow plan to help you make the best possible decision on your investment.

5.   Tells sellers how to become shrewd (in a good way-- "as innocent as doves").

6.   You will learn from my own and my top investor's mistakes.

7.  Gives you our team's (research-based) real estate investing strategies, saving you time and money.

8.  Frees you from unnecessary worry before buying and selling a house in Reno (knowing deep inside you should have done your homework).

9.  Don't like reading a lot? We have videos explaining current Reno market conditions.

10.  Like a patient mentor, our aim is to answer your questions about the Reno real estate market. If we don't know the answer, we promise we'll try our best to find it.

11.  You'll be ahead of the mainstream news media and 90% of the Reno-Sparks population in knowing what the Reno-Sparks market is doing.

12.  Be the first to learn exciting market opportunities! While some people aim to survive a real estate recession, we look for opportunities the market is giving us.  And there are exciting opportunities.

13.
  Gives you personal, un-biased opinion about your current real estate situation. (Send us an email or call us. We may be helping a number of people at a given day, please expect a 24 hour turnaround time.)

"If there is someone who should have listened to Joe but didn't, it is me. Joe told me I needed to sell by summer of 2007, I thought the market was going to get better and decided to do otherwise. Learn from my lesson even If you don't agree on him, listen to what he has to say. You will not be disappointed."
--Emily Abadia

"I hope every buyer in Reno would have the chance to read 'reno home blog' before buying a house."
--Tony Lim, former Reno real estate agent

"Joe's your man if you need someone to trust. Joe Salcedo is a hard working Realtor. Joe is very professional and will go the extra mile."
--Philip Duane Johncock


Joe: No.

Actually it’s about 3 months.

It would take 3 months to slurp up all the homes for sale in Reno at the current speed of selling it (demand). One of the lowest MSI (months supply of inventory) recorded in the history of Reno real estate.

It’s my absolute conviction that what was happening in 2006—majority of people didn’t believe anything bad could happen in the Reno real estate market— is happening again, but in REVERSE. The general population is still reeling from the real estate depression. I can’t blame them but ladies and gentlemen it’s time to hope again.

Even Somerset is experiencing the lack of supply:

Thumbnail image for blog.somerset MSI Jan 2010.jpg

Why supply ( homes for sale) is low in Reno-Sparks

| Your thoughts?

Like a lone wolf in the wilderness, I’ve been howling why o why? 

My best guess is that sellers are still reeling from the pain of the market decline in the last four years. But who can blame them? The last four years has been brutal for sellers.

As early as Feb 2008, median price in Reno was $300,000. Now its $185,000. A staggering 60% decline just in the last two years:


blog.reno price decline 08-10.jpg


My dear seller, I understand what you are going through. I also lost a lot of money investing in 2005. But if you’re thinking of selling, now may be a good time. Price it right and deliver a great show for your home. Good things might be ahead of you.

ad.stone hollow.jpgSOLD Feb 2010
Note: this post talks primarily to sellers in the South Meadows area.   


We just sold a home at Stone Hollow, about 3 miles away from 395 South Damonte Ranch exit.

Here's a letter I sent to 100 homes around our sold listing.  I know, I know forgive me for my shameless plug, but hey it's mostly market news.:


The good news: I've noticed that prices in the South Meadows area might be headed for a bottom--only for homes priced $250,000 and below. And I will tell you why: the house you see above was in the market (since early 2009) for $249,000 and we sold it for $235,000 (Feb 2010). Less than the asking price but not by much (considering the length of time).


And the graphs back it up: Demand is HUGE.


Reno Homes Demand: Dec 2005 - Jan 2010

Thumbnail image for Thumbnail image for blog.RenoDemandSOLDJan2010.jpg



And supply is LOW. Reno Supply of Homes Dec 2005 - Jan 2010

Thumbnail image for Thumbnail image for blog.RenoSupplyJan2010.jpg



Which means....Law of supply and demand--we might be headed for greener pastures ($250,000 and below.) 


So the big question is......Should I sell or wait? It depends.


I think:


  1. If you can wait, wait it out. The numbers back you up (low supply ; high demand).


  1. But If you have to or want to sell, then I think you should do it soon. Please go back to first page and look at the demand of homes in Reno. Notice that demand is significantly higher in the summer months. And summer is just around the corner. My point is You Can Be Ahead Of The Pack. When demand goes up this next few months (and it will) you'll be first in line--more showings, more price.


             And If you think I can be the guy to help you sell your home, let's go! (I would be honored).


         Shameless plugs:


  • I already sold three homes within a mile radius of where your home is.

  • I closed 14 short sales in 2009. (Top 3 in Reno).

  • Type "Reno Short Sale Expert" in google. I'm number one!

  • I know your area inside out. I know what the buyers are looking for in the South Meadows area (our office is around the corner, beside home depot).

  • There is no question in my mind that I can sell your house (if priced right and has a nice condition).

  • I have been studying the South Meadows area for the last 2 years (hence, the graphs). For more information visit my 3 yr. old blog--www.RenoHomeBlog.com.


JUST IN CASE... you are not quite sure of what you want to do, but you are interested in knowing more about your options--no problem, call my assistant IAN to schedule a Free- No Hassle consultation with me--775-850-5900 ext. 135. or shoot me an email--jsalcedo@chaseinternational.com


Thank you so much for reading this random letter.


I hope I added value in your life.


Reno real estate: "night is darkest just before dawn"

| Your thoughts?
blog.dawn.jpg

picture by: Jim Patterson


"The banks are going to unleash hell by flooding the market with REO's."

"More REO's in the market soon! Says expert."

"Loan modifications begin to default on mortgage payments again! Will prolong real estate depression."


Gloomy predictions. Do we take heed? Maybe.

But how's panic going to help us? I won't argue that these dire predictions come from a market truth--we're still not over the hump. But we also need to see the numbers:

Demand continues to soar:

Thumbnail image for blog.RenoDemandSOLDJan2010.jpg



Supply is all time low:

Thumbnail image for blog.RenoSupplyJan2010.jpg


"The night is darkest just before dawn"

The Reno real estate market reached it's peak in late 2005.  By 2006 in started to decline. We're heading to our fifth year of real estate recession.  History tells us that real estate downturns take 3-5 years.

$150,000 and below are beginning to stabilize, just ask the first time home buyers who are fighting it our on multiple offers.  Wait 'til summer comes. 

I think it's time to hope. 


Somerset pool

"The clubhouse pool at Somerset" 

                                                -----------------------------------

"Buyers can get a bird's-eye view on the overall Supply & Demand for the Reno Somerset-Northwest  areas"

                                                -----------------------------------

About: An in-depth look at the Reno-Northwest (MLS area: 120), Reno Northwest Suburban (MLS area: 121)  & Reno-Somerset (MLS area: 122) real estate market areas.

I used to follow the 'Days on the market' statistic to keep up with the trend in these areas but Craig King, our chief operation officer, advised me to use MSI instead.  He is right.  MSI (months supply of inventory) has turned out to be more dependable.  Thanks Craig.

You can come up with the Months Supply of Inventory by dividing the number of listings by the number of sales.

Hope it helps. 

Time period of December 2005 - January 2010.   

WIIFM (what's in it for me?): This is crucial information for home buyers and home sellers in the Northwest Reno area. 

Sellers can get a realistic estimate on how long it would take for their homes to sell.

Buyers can get a bird's-eye view on the overall Supply & Demand for the Reno-Northwest  areas- comparing the ratio of homes for sale,new homes on the market and homes sold. 

Highlight(s):        

                                      ---------------------------------------------------

"Inventory (MSI) is at a thrilling 2.7 months!"

                         ----------------------------------------------------

  • (January 2010) Summer is going to make life hard for buyers under $170,000.
  • (October 2009)  Median price is still going down but not as much as a year ago.  Inventory (MSI) is at a thrilling 2 months! (Meaning at current pace it'll take 2 months to sell all inventory).
  • (August 2009) Median price in the Northwest area (graph not shown)--though still going down as a whole-- is starting to fight back.  One month is up then the next is down.  But more up months than in the past two years.  Starter homes priced below $180,000 has been very attractive for a lot of buyers--first time and investors.
  • (July 2009) MSI (inventory) is down (a good sign).  People are buying a lot of homes in this area supply can't even keep up.  But prices have yet to hit bottom.
  • (June 2009) Supply is still on a nose dive.  Demand is up the roofs.  Inventory (inevitably) is way down (a good sign).
  • (May 2009) Inventory is at 2.5 months--a two-year low (positive sign)!
  • (Apr 2009) Homes sold and homes in contract are going up since January 2009.  MSI (inventory is down to 2.1 months! a good sign).  If you are thinking of selling your home, pay attention to this data--sell while supply is low! Median price is still going down--but I wonder for how long?
  • (Mar 2009) Demand (higher) and MSI (lower) continue to perform well.  A very good sign. 
  • (Feb 2009) 3.6 months supply of inventory is even better than last month's low number (lower is better).  Sellers are still wary of the market, but expect this to go up come spring and summer.  Sellers, now is the time to prepare for the summer buyer rush.
  • (Dec 2008) Inventory is down.  Demand is even. Months supply of inventory is at 6.4 mos (from 11.3 months!).  This is good numbers!
  • (Oct 2008)  Median price continue to go South.  But demand is still going up since January  of this year.  Supply is lukewarm.
  • (Sept 2008) Demand continue to go up.  Supply is still relatively low if you compare  it from the previous three to five years.  Median price continue to struggle but MSI (months supply of inventory) is low (a good sign).
  • (Aug 2008) I haven't seen supply and demand this good in years!  Reno-Northwest and Somersett area seems to be heading for a market bottom in terms of demand.  Hope the price reaches a bottom as well.  We'll wait and see.

Click Here To Read History of Comments

                                           -----------------------------

Call Joe at 775-338-7653  for a Free-No Pressure - No Obligation Market Analysis of s specific zip code you are interested in!

                                           ------------------------------

Graph(s):

Supply: Somerset-Northwest Real Estate

blog.somerset.FS Jan2010.jpg(click image to enlarge)




Demand: Somersett-Northwest Real Estate

blog.somerset DEMANd Jan2010.jpg (click image to enlarge)


MSI- Months Supply of Inventory

blog.somerset MSI Jan 2010.jpg (click image to enlarge)



Months supply of inventory

  • Jan '09:  2.7 mos.
  • Dec '09:  5 mos.
  • Nov '09:  5.3 mos.
  • Oct '09:  4.4 mos.
  • Sep 09:  3.5 mos.
  • Aug '094.0 mos
  • July '09:  4.3 mos.
  • June '09:  5.2 mos.
  • May '09:  4.7 mos.
  • April '09: 4.0 mos.
  • Mar '09:  6.3 mos.
  • Feb '09:  5.6 mos.
  • Jan '09:  7.5 mos.
  • Dec '08:   8.8 mos.
  • Nov '08:  11.8 mos.
  • Oct '08:  10.3 mos.
  • Sept '08:  7.8 mos.
  • Aug '08:  10.2 mos.
  • Jul '08:  9.2 mos.
  • Jun '08:  8.8 mos.
  • May '08:  8.8 mos.
  • Apr '08:   7.9 mos.
  • Mar '08:   8.5 mos.
  • Feb '08:  10.2 mos.
  • Jan '08:  13.6 mos.
  • Dec '07:  25.4 mos.
  • Nov '07: 14.1 mos.
  • Oct '07:   14.7 mos.
  • Sep '07:  16.0 mos.
  • Aug '07:  12.7 mos.
  • Jul '07:    8.5 mos.
  • Jun '07:   8.0 mos.
  • May '07:  8.1 mos.
  • Apr '07:   6.5 mos.
  • Mar '07:   10.6 mos.
  • Feb '07:   6.6 mos.
  • Jan '07:   7.4 mos.
  • Dec '06:  13.1 mos.
  • Nov '06:  11.1 mos.
  • Oct '06:   11.9 mos.
  • Sep '06:  15.2 mos.
  • Aug '06:  10.3 mos.
  • Jul '06:    11.7 mos.
  • Jun '06:  12.0 mos.
  • May '06:  9.1 mos.
  • Apr '06:   9.8 mos.
  • Mar '06:   7.8 mos.
  • Feb '06:   10.6 mos.
  • Jan '06:   12.4 mos.

Number Of Homes For Sale:


  • Jan '10:  351
  • Dec '09:  351
  • Nov '09:  357
  • Oct '09:  383
  • Sep '09:  414
  • Aug '09:  414
  • July '09:  439
  • June '09:  418
  • May '09:  414
  • Apr '09:  435
  • Mar '09:  433
  • Feb '09:  438
  • Jan '09:  424
  • Dec '08:  445
  • Nov '08:  460
  • Oct  '08:  489
  • Sep '08:  531 
  • Aug '08:  552
  • Jul '08:  577
  • Jun '08:  560
  • May '08: 542
  • Apr '08:  531
  • Mar '08:  530
  • Feb '08:  505
  • Jan '08:  489

  • Dec '07:  477

  • Nov '07:  470

  • Oct '07:   545

  • Sep '07:  512

  • Aug '07:  566

  • Jul '07:   578

  • Jun '07:  602

  • May '07:  570

  • Apr '07:   542

  • Mar '07:  497

  • Feb '07:  475

  • Jan '07:  534

  • Dec '06:  524

  • Nov '06:  611

  • Oct '06:   687

  • Sep '06:  739

  • Aug '06:  804

  • Jul '06:   763

  • Jun '06:  763

  • May '06:  680

  • Apr '06:   577

  • Mar '06:  548

  • Feb '06:  482

  • Jan '06:  478

  • Dec '05:  481

Number of Homes SOLD:

  • Jan '09:  45
  • Dec '09:  53
  • Nov '09:  65
  • Oct '09:  85
  • Sep '09:  74
  • Aug '09:  66
  • July '09:  68
  • June '09:  69
  • May '09: 48  
  • Apr '09:  66
  • Mar '09:  59
  • Feb '09: 36
  • Jan '09:  28
  • Dec '08:  37
  • Nov  '08: 38
  • Oct  '08:  44
  • Sep '08:  54
  • Aug '08:  50
  • Jul '08:  56
  • Jun '08:  52
  • May '08:  49
  • Apr '08:   50
  • Mar '08:  36
  • Feb '08:  29
  • Jan '08:  17

  • Dec '07:  27

  • Nov '07:  27

  • Oct '07:   35

  • Sep '07:  32

  • Aug '07:  53

  • Jul '07:   52

  • Jun '07:  62

  • May '07:  52

  • Apr '07:  51

  • Mar '07:  47

  • Feb '07:  51

  • Jan '07:  33

  • Dec '06:  40

  • Nov '06:  42

  • Oct '06:   42

  • Sep '06:   49

  • Aug '06:  55

  • Jul '06:    52

  • Jun '06:  58

  • May '06:  48

  • Apr '06:  48

  • Mar '06:  41

  • Feb '06:  37

  • Jan '06:  29

  • Dec '05:  50

Community Links:


P.S-   If you have some comments or would like to correct anything in the article,kindly send your thoughts I'd love to hear them!  You can also call me on my cellphone for any questions you may have: Joe- 775-338-7653


*  Reno Northwest,Reno Northwest Suburban & Reno Somerset

* Residential homes site/stick built

Updated: Feb 19, 2010 (16'th update)

Source: Multiple listing Service

Next Release Time: Mar 4 ,2010  (Every 4'th of the month)